I want to get to quite a few different things today so let's dive right in.
First off, the newest legal book I had in my cross-hairs was BetMGM. I deposited the $1500 max to get the $1500 in free bets and put them to use. Other than those, they give out decent promo's somewhat regularly. They aren't as frequent as DK, but they're sometimes $250 max which is nice. You have to hunt for them too, a little bit. I just found a 25% deposit match up to $400 deposited buried in my promotions. The sports book itself is very unremarkable and the app is atrocious. By far the worst sports book app I've used yet. Slow, buggy, non-intuitive. Once my promos get nerfed I'll be pretty much out of there.
My Fanatics promos have all become $10 max so I'm pretty much done there, too. I actually feel a little bit foolish even talking about these accounts, but it's really the only betting thing I have going on right now. The bonus's and promo's were great and absolutely worth doing, but clearly they don't last if you have any kind of brain. One thing I have done on DK that I haven't anywhere else is buy some merch from them. I wonder if that's worth doing early on with a new account just for longevity. It is fun using the 30% boosted parlays as hedges of each other and keeping these parlay ladders going. It's worth a couple hundred bucks a week, only takes like an hour a day, max, and it keeps the wheels moving in the NFL offseason.
Up next I'm looking at Caesar's sports book. After that, that will be all of the obvious ones. Then it might get interesting again. Look at me, a bonus hustler in 2026, lol.
The 'war in Iran' is top of the news lately, of course, and since literally no one asked me, I thought I might offer an opinion. My take on this war is very similar to Matt Walsh's, whom you may have heard. (By the way, how about Matt Walsh coming out of nowhere, huh? I find myself agreeing with him often).
Anyway, my view is that maybe it is a good thing to finally deal with Iran right now. I don't know, and neither do you or anyone else. No one knows how it's going to shake out or what it'll look like in 5 or 25 years. If I had to bet, I would say that in 10 years we'll look back and conclude that like most of our Middle Eastern military adventures, it was a big waste in the end. Iran will still exist, they will still despise us, and they'll still be tinkering around with getting a nuke. What good did two decades in Afghanistan do? But who knows!
But you know what I do know? I know that this 'operation', or whatever we're calling it, is not only risky for America and Trump, but hugely expensive and wildly unpopular. And the potential benefit is nebulous, at best. We assassinate their leaders and what happens? They get new leaders.
You know what else would be hugely expensive and mostly unpopular? Mass deportations. Mass. Like, all of them. It would cost a lot and the media would make it look absolutely brutal. But imagine the payoff! Imagine this gigantic, beautiful, powerful ship that is America, once and for all, finally cutting loose the anchor we've been dragging around for nearly 70 years now. And not only are we dragging this anchor, but the anchor gets heavier by the minute. All the extra waste, the fraud, the incompetence, right here at home. Finally, really, actually cleaning up America, in America, and not blowing things up in Iran. Who fucking cares about Iran!? We should barely know Iran exists! There's more than enough to do here at home.
So my point is that if Trump is going to take this big risk, I would just much rather have it done with deportations. Something that would actually help Americans. That would be nice if the government thought like that, no?
And while we're on the subject, boy it sure is interesting the pull that Israel has. That dot of a country. I cannot tell you how sick of hearing about Israel I am. I don't know why we're so involved with them at all, honestly. Jews and Arabs have been fighting over the same patch of land since, almost literally, the dawn of time. Since they started fighting, how much collective energy do you think has gone into them throwing/firing/launching projectiles at each other? And knocking them down? First it was rocks by hand, now it's munitions by launchers, but it's all the same. Desert people launching projectiles at their neighbors while we, somehow, foot the bill for these projectiles going both ways. We give Palestine aid in the form of irrigation pipes and they turn in them into rocket launchers. I say we let them figure it out. Let someone win, honestly. It isn't our fight. That might sound harsh but if someone had won 500 years ago, how many deaths would that have prevented? I mean, what else? More peace talks? More cease fires? It'll never work. It seems that what we're doing now is the worst possible tactic. Be involved but only kind of. Just keep it going but no decisive wins. Man, if I didn't know any better I would think that arms dealers had some sort of sway in our federal government!!
Think about the energy that goes into carrying out an offensive war in the Middle East. The amount of people involved, the flights and truck rides, the phone calls, the planning, making the munitions, delivering everything...I mean just the sheer manpower. Imagine all of that energy right here back at home focused on quick, efficient deportations, done right, along with completely cleaning up as much fraud as possible. Imagine the dent you could put in in three years. Probably worth north of 5 figures a year for the average taxpayer.
-Shifting gears somewhat, here is an absolutely mind boggling chart. Maybe most one of the most telling, gruesome, insidious charts you'll ever see.
That is data from the Danish Ministry of Finance, one of the few remaining White countries that track and publish findings like this. It's obviously the annual net cost to the country per person by their rape conviction rates (so that doesn't include every single rape that goes unreported, ones that do get reported but are never charged, and ones that do get reported, charged, but not convicted. So we're probably talking close to only something like 50% of all total rapes to begin with on this chart).
And the shocking part isn't the positive correlation. No, by now we're quite familiar with charts like this these days. It's the exponential correlation. That isn't a straight line going up and to the right. It's a hockey stick. Think about that! The more of the publics money they get, the more rapes they get convicted for, exponentially. And of course rape doesn't happen in a vacuum. I think it's safe to say that anyone who would rape someone is capable of carrying out other anti-social and heinous acts. Think of the damage that gets publicly funded! They put out a graph like this and people just go about their day. I don't know what else needs to happen, really.
-Here we have a 'shooting and stabbing gene'. I swear to god, future people will look back on this time period with such utter confusion.
-Warren Buffet did an interview a few weeks ago on the CNBC morning show which was pretty good. He totally missed it on Bitcoin but he's what, 90 something? His track record speaks for itself. He said a few interesting things but the one that make me think was what he said about Washington. The interviewer asked him something about the relationship between business and government and he said something along the lines of 'I can't believe how important it's become' (meaning sucking up to the government). 'That's where the money gets handed out and the rules are made, I suppose' is roughly what he said as well. It just made me think, he's been around obviously for a long time and in his time, he's seen the role and importance of the Federal government just grow and grow. And he would be a perfect guy to notice and know something like that. I've noticed it too, in my much shorter and less accomplished life. Where do we think this is headed? Once they have it, governments don't typically give back power by choice. Is it just a slow march to true oligarchy?
-By now, I'm sure you've heard about the story with the dozen or so high ranking scientists who have disappeared or died. Super creepy. Also kind of the plot of 3 Body Problem which is on Netflix which is an incredible show. I don't know what to make of it, but with it being ten of them now, there is basically no chance that they aren't related to each other somehow.
-Anyway, that's it for me today. I'll have something up again soon. Bye for now!
