Couple More Free Picks

Just a couple more free picks for today. This isn't at all going to become the new format or anything, just a little something in between posts. 

Nick Seeler u2.5 Blocks +105

Jacob Middleton o2.5 Blocks +135

I'm getting a bet on Nick Seeler unders almost every time I do these. That happens a lot with modeling/betting. It's (hopefully) finding some kind of market inefficiency and not a model bias. I remember when I made my first player vs player NHL points model, I had a bet on Claude Giroux just about every single night. Which makes sense since in his prime, Giroux was an elite playmaker and filled the stat sheet with primary assists. Assists are 'easier' to get than goals but the goal scorers tend to get all the attention, so a highly skilled playmaker could be a source of hidden points. It was important to separate primary from secondary assists as this somewhat shows that it was a repeatable skill and not simply running good or playing with better linemates. 

That's it for today, I should have a new real post up sometime this week.

Talk soon!