Bit of a light teaser day plus I have a little bit of time here to myself while I wait for some orders to get matched on NoVig, so I figured I would do a quick post outlining what I have going on today.
No teaser legs hanging over from the Monday or Thursday night games. The only legs I have going today are TEN +7.5, CIN +7.5 and BAL +8.5, all paired up with KC +8.5. With no available legs in the 9:30 game or afternoon slate, I'm only able to do 2 teamers which I don't love. ATL is a possibility, but it's a 'light' +2.5 with a total in the 50s. I'll see how the next couple hours go, but I'll probably pass on this game altogether.
TEN is a phenomenal leg. I have this set up so most of my CLE buyback has been on ML and -2.5. With the super low total and two shitty offenses, I'm really going for the middle here.
As good as TEN is, CIN is actually an even better leg right now. There's been a ton of movement on this line with Lamar Jackson being questionable all week, and I was able to snipe CIN at +1.5. They've since moved to -3 (+102).
BAL +8.5 isn't great. I teased them a couple days ago when the line was +2.5, but it has since moved to +3 -113. I love getting both teams in the same game in teasers though. Obviously looking for any kind of a close game here.
Lastly on the teaser front, we have the night game, KC at SEA. KC +8.5 isn't a great leg with this line now at a flat 3, however I have quite a lot of other things going on with this game. My PPH has this game lined at 2.5 still, -110 both sides. So I'm able to max out SEA -2.5 -110, hedge it with KC +2.5 +115 and hopefully some KC +8.5 as the last leg in my teasers. Really good spot here.
I have a couple other things going on too, besides teasers. Draft Kings put up a couple really off market numbers early in the week and I pounced pretty hard on them. They had DET -3 -110 and TB +3 +100, both of which were arbable at the time I bet and even moreso now. So I have DET -3 -110 hedged with GB +3.5 -108 (thanks to a few odds boosts), and TB +3 +100 and a little +3.5 hedged with CAR -2.5, -3 +105 and ML. Looking to bink one of these games for the massive half/half-middle.
So that's about it, so far at least. Little bit of a teaser breather week. I'm taking a lot of small risks to hopefully hit one or two of these middles. Looking for CIN/BAL to be decided by less than a TD and CLE winning by 7 or less. Then the big middles on the 3 in the TB and DET games. Then the late game tonight will be a big one, sort of depending on how the 1:00 teaser legs do.
With my 40ish units locked up this week already from the MNF game, I have the chance for a really big week. If CAR or DET win by exactly 3, it will be a banner week no matter what else happens. Check back later today or tomorrow to see how it all goes!
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