Results!

BINK. Let us compile first:

S Gostibehere o1.5 +120 (full unit) W

Brent Burns o1.5 -110 L

T Hall o1.5 -130 W

L Stankoven o1.5 -175 W

Jackson Blake u1.5 +135 W

Seth Jarvis o2.5 +115 (full unit) W

S Aho o2.5 +110 W

D Strome u1.5 +105 W

Tom Wilson u1.5 +126 W

SGP .25 units L

Now that's more like it! 8-2, +4.94 units for the night. As usual, bet sizing kicking me in the ass. These really shouldn't have been half units. The first few guys I priced I only saw small/no edges so I said to make them half units. I got back on my computer later and did most of the Carolina guys and most of those were fairly big edges. But obviously we'll count them as half units, besides the two that were full.

Puts us at +2.16 units so far after 40 plays.

This is a lot more what betting these used to feel like. Good mix of overs/unders so I know there isn't a glaring model bias. The game went into OT but I'm pretty sure every single over was already a winner before OT started. Covering two unders with OT is nice, too. Even the only loss, the Brent Burns over, really 'should' have been a win with him getting plenty of PP time and having 5 corsis. With 5 attempts, he really should cover 2 shots well over 75% of the time.

You never want to over react to any single day, good or bad, so we'll just keep on keeping on. But I am really encouraged so far, I love my new model and I feel like I'm nailing the TOI for each guy/player. I used to fly through these, trying to get down on as many bets as possible. This time around, I'm doing a lot more research, spending more time on each game/bet. It feels dumb now to say this, but I never really considered how different playoffs are to regular season games when it comes to expected shots and PP ice time. Now that I know, I'm way more happy to fire on close over bets and pass on close under bets. 

Anyway, hopefully you guys were able to get down on these. I have no idea if anyone is even tailing me. I can see the stats and there's plenty of people coming here, but I have no clue how many people are tailing me. Leave a comment if you are!

Check back later today, 90% chance I'll have more bets up for tonights games. Talk soon, bye!